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Emerging Trends in Private Transmission Assets

UK & Europe

Key Takeaways

01 | Introduction

Electricity transmission is becoming an increasingly important focus within the energy transition, as network expansion struggles to keep pace with renewable deployment, electrification and rising power demand. In response, policymakers and regulators are exploring new approaches to financing and delivering transmission infrastructure. This report examines the emergence of competitive transmission models, with a particular focus on the UK’s CATO framework, and assesses whether similar approaches could scale across Europe.
  • National governments are also stepping in, with France, Spain and the United Kingdom (“UK”) each deploying multi-million-euro support packages to attract and retain large-scale cell manufacturing. A strong rebound in EV sales in 2025—up 27% year-on-year in the first five months, reaching 1.6 million units—is reinforcing long-term demand fundamentals. This recovery, coupled with Europe’s industrial expertise, renewable energy base, and strong automotive sector, provides a solid foundation for scaling.

  • However, the competitive landscape in battery chemistry is evolving. While Europe’s projects remain tied to nickel manganese cobalt (“NMC”), Chinese players are aggressively building lithium iron phosphate (“LFP”) plants in Europe, leveraging a 20–30% cost advantage and threatening the competitiveness of EU-based gigafactories.

  • For investors, the message is clear: the market is challenging but still full of opportunity. Europe is not retreating—it is recalibrating. Gigafactory clusters in France’s “Battery Valley,” Germany, Spain, Poland, and Hungary demonstrate strong momentum. Europe’s gigafactory expansion is challenging but increasingly essential. The next five years will be critical, as success will depend on projects that align with policy goals, secure reliable offtake agreements, and scale effectively.

  • For investors with long-term capital and an interest in industrial collaboration, Europe’s battery sector offers not only a strategic opportunity to support regional resilience but also a promising avenue for growth.